An estimated 2,172,000 Australians are intending to buy a new car in the next 4 years.
This is down on the August result of 2,204,000 but remains almost 100,000 units above the long-term average of 2,082,000, according to the latest Roy Morgan report for September 2012.
However Toyota, Holden and Ford are all improving on their intention figure since August. Toyota has moved above 20% for the first time since early 2010, with the Corolla, Camry and the Hilux the models most favoured by new car intending purchasers.
In the shorter term, an estimated 584,000 Australians intend to buy a new car in the next 12 months, a decline of 5000 vehicles since the August 2012 result of 589,000 and remaining below the long-term average of 616,000.
Norman Morris, industry communications director, Roy Morgan Research, says: “With September again showing record new vehicle sales, it will be intriguing to see if the industry can keep up this level of volume over the coming 12 months, in spite of consumer new car buying intention still weakening, with both short and long term levels marginally down.
“Consumer confidence has remained stable around the 112 mark for September, in the face of extensive media scrutiny suggesting the mining boom may be coming to an end and increasing concerns over Australia’s financial outlook.
“Roy Morgan Research’s current unemployment level for Australia — moving up to 10% in September — is likely to also concern the auto industry. Higher levels of unemployment do not bode well for the Auto industry which will be undoubtedly hoping the RBA will further lower interest rates in the coming months to further stimulate the economy.
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